AP Decision Notes: What to expect in the Texas US Senate Republican primary runoff
Summary
Texas Republican voters will hold a runoff election to choose their candidate for the U.S. Senate. Incumbent Senator John Cornyn will face State Attorney General Ken Paxton, who has President Donald Trump’s endorsement. The winner will compete against Democrat James Talarico in the general election.Key Facts
- Texas Republicans are holding a runoff primary election for the U.S. Senate seat on Tuesday.
- Senator John Cornyn received the most votes in the first primary but did not secure a majority.
- Ken Paxton, Texas Attorney General, came in second and was endorsed by President Trump on May 19, 2026.
- The race focuses heavily on candidates’ loyalty to President Trump and his agenda.
- President Trump’s rural Texas supporters favored Paxton 45% to 40%; Cornyn performed better in other areas.
- Historically, Texas incumbents rarely lose primary races; only two have lost in the past 100 years.
- The winner of the runoff will face Democrat James Talarico in the general election.
- The primary day also includes runoffs for several congressional districts and state offices such as lieutenant governor and attorney general.
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