Key Facts

• Expected points (xPTS) estimate how many points teams “should” have earned based on the quality of scoring chances they created and allowed.
• Sunderland and Aston Villa performed worse in expected points compared to their actual points, while Chelsea would have qualified for the Champions League based on xPTS.
• Tottenham earned more points in away games than home games, good enough for a European competition spot if only away performance counted.
• Fulham had the strongest home form, showing a clear difference between their home and away results.
• Set-piece goals (like corner kicks and free kicks) were important this season, with Arsenal among the best at scoring from these chances.
• The article shows a hypothetical table counting only goals scored from outside the penalty box ("long shots").
• Another alternative table ranks teams based only on goals scored by English players, ahead of the upcoming England international tournament.