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James Talarico's Chances of Beating Ken Paxton After Runoff Win

James Talarico's Chances of Beating Ken Paxton After Runoff Win

Summary

James Talarico, the Democratic candidate, faces a tough race against Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate election this November. Paxton recently won the Republican runoff with strong support from President Donald Trump, and polls show a close and competitive race between the two candidates.

Key Facts

  • Ken Paxton won the Republican primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn with 62% of the vote.
  • President Donald Trump endorsed Paxton in May, calling him a “MAGA Warrior.”
  • James Talarico, a state lawmaker and Presbyterian pastor, secured the Democratic nomination in March.
  • Polls show a very close race, with some surveys indicating a dead heat and others showing slight leads for either candidate.
  • Betting odds currently give Republicans a 54% chance of winning and Democrats a 47% chance.
  • Texas has not elected a Democrat to statewide office in the 21st century, so this race is seen as a key test.
  • Paxton’s win continues a series of successful Trump-backed candidate victories in GOP primaries this year.
  • Early polls showed a tie, then a Democratic edge, followed by a tightening as Republicans united behind Paxton.
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