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‘Scum’: Trump attacks US states’ efforts to regulate prediction markets

‘Scum’: Trump attacks US states’ efforts to regulate prediction markets

Summary

President Donald Trump said the federal government should keep control over prediction markets, which let people bet on the results of events. Some states like Minnesota want to regulate or ban these markets, calling them a form of gambling, but the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) currently oversees them.

Key Facts

  • Prediction markets let users place bets on future events and have grown rapidly in recent years.
  • The CFTC regulates prediction markets as a part of derivatives trading, which involves contracts based on future values.
  • More than a dozen states are considering curbs or bans on prediction markets, with Minnesota passing the first law banning them.
  • Minnesota’s attorney general criticized prediction markets for being addictive and harmful to young and low-income people.
  • The CFTC filed a federal lawsuit to challenge Minnesota’s ban on prediction markets.
  • President Trump and his family have business ties to prediction market companies.
  • There are ethical concerns about insider trading in prediction markets, highlighted by a recent criminal case involving a US soldier.
  • Trading volumes on Kalshi, a leading prediction market, increased from about $100 million weekly last year to over $3 billion now.
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