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Think it’s hot now? The next five years will smash records, UN says

Think it’s hot now? The next five years will smash records, UN says

Summary

A new United Nations report says there is a high chance that the average temperature on Earth will rise above the safety limit set in 2015 over the next five years. This increase will break temperature records and cause harmful effects like severe droughts, wildfires, and damage to important natural environments.

Key Facts

  • There is a 75% chance that average global temperatures from 2026 to 2030 will exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.
  • The 1.5 degrees Celsius limit was set in the 2015 Paris climate agreement as the safe limit for global warming.
  • There is a 91% chance that at least one year between 2026 and 2030 will pass this 1.5-degree mark.
  • There is an 86% chance that one of these years will become the hottest year ever recorded on Earth.
  • The Arctic is expected to warm nearly 3 degrees Fahrenheit (1.66 degrees Celsius) by 2030.
  • The Amazon region faces dangerous drought and possible wildfires, threatening a key natural area that helps reduce climate change.
  • Even small temperature increases can have serious impacts on ecosystems like coral reefs and glaciers.
  • Rising temperatures will likely cause more extreme weather events, including heat waves, floods, and droughts, affecting agriculture, city planning, and human health.
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