Global temperatures likely to remain at record levels in 2026-2030, UN says
Summary
The United Nations says global temperatures are likely to stay at or near record highs from 2026 to 2030. There is a 75% chance that the average temperature during these five years will be more than 1.5°C higher than before industrial times. The UN also warns that a new hottest year on record is likely before 2031.Key Facts
- The 11 hottest years ever recorded have all happened since 2015.
- The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) predicts global temperatures will remain very high through 2030.
- There is a 75% chance the average global temperature from 2026-2030 will be over 1.5°C above the pre-industrial average (1850-1900).
- There is an 86% chance that one year between 2026 and 2030 will be the warmest year on record.
- A natural climate event called El Niño is expected at the end of 2026, which often raises global temperatures.
- Global temperatures are predicted to range between 1.3°C and 1.9°C above pre-industrial levels during 2026-2030.
- It is very unlikely (less than 1%) that any single year in this period will exceed 2°C above pre-industrial levels.
- The Paris Agreement aims to limit warming to below 2°C and preferably under 1.5°C compared to pre-industrial times.
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