Forecasters predict below-average hurricane season, advise against complacency
Summary
Forecasters predict a below-average Atlantic hurricane season from June 1 to November 30, with 8 to 14 named storms, 3 to 6 hurricanes, and 1 to 3 major hurricanes expected. Despite fewer storms, experts advise people to prepare as a single strong hurricane can still cause serious damage.Key Facts
- The National Weather Service forecasts 8 to 14 named storms this season, fewer than the average of 14.
- They expect 3 to 6 hurricanes and 1 to 3 major hurricanes (category 3 or higher with winds over 111 mph).
- An El Niño, a climate event with warm Pacific Ocean water, is expected and usually reduces Atlantic hurricane activity.
- Warm Atlantic waters may still cause some storms to become very strong quickly.
- Experts warn that even in a quiet season, one hurricane can cause severe harm.
- The season runs from June 1 to November 30.
- NOAA estimates a 55% chance of below-normal hurricane activity this season.
- Hurricane Melissa in the previous year caused $9 billion in damage and 95 deaths in the Caribbean despite no US landfalls.
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