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Hilton's Chances of Beating Becerra In California Governor Race: New Poll

Hilton's Chances of Beating Becerra In California Governor Race: New Poll

Summary

A new poll shows Democrat Xavier Becerra leading the race for California governor with 23% support, followed closely by Republican Steve Hilton at 20%. California’s top-two primary system means the two candidates with the most votes, regardless of party, will advance to the November election, making the race competitive and uncertain.

Key Facts

  • Xavier Becerra, a Democrat and former U.S. health secretary, is currently leading the California governor race.
  • Steve Hilton, a Republican endorsed by President Donald Trump, is in second place.
  • Five candidates are polling in double digits, including Tom Steyer, Chad Bianco, and Katie Porter.
  • California uses a top-two primary system where the top two vote-getters advance to the general election, even if both are from the same party.
  • The split among Democratic candidates could allow Republicans a better chance to advance.
  • Small changes in voter turnout or preferences could change who moves on to the November general election.
  • Governor Gavin Newsom cannot run again due to term limits.
  • Prediction markets currently favor a Democratic candidate to win the governorship in November.
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