Hottest year on record almost certain to occur by end of 2030, UN warns
Summary
The United Nations weather agency says it is very likely the hottest year on record will happen within the next five years. The report also warns that global temperatures are rising fast, especially in the Arctic, and that the world may soon pass important climate goals set to limit harmful warming.Key Facts
- There is an 86% chance that one of the next five years will be hotter than 2024, the current warmest year on record.
- The five-year average global temperature from 2026 to 2030 has a 75% chance to exceed 1.5°C (2.7°F) above pre-industrial levels.
- The Paris Agreement aims to keep warming under 1.5°C to avoid severe climate effects like heatwaves and storms.
- The Arctic is expected to warm 2.8°C (5°F) above the 1991–2020 average in the next five winters, warming over three times faster than the global average.
- Rainfall is predicted to increase in the Sahel, Northern Europe, Alaska, and Siberia, but the Amazon rainforest is expected to become drier.
- Western Europe is experiencing a heatwave, with the UK seeing record-breaking May temperatures above 35°C (95°F).
- The UN climate chief says human-caused climate change makes heatwaves more frequent and extreme.
- Experts stress the need to move quickly to renewable energy and reduce fossil fuel use to slow climate change.
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