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Democrat's Chances of Flipping Nebraska as Internal Poll Shows Tight Race

Democrat's Chances of Flipping Nebraska as Internal Poll Shows Tight Race

Summary

A recent internal poll shows Nebraska’s Republican Governor Jim Pillen and Democratic challenger Lynne Walz in a close race for governor. Pillen leads by 2 points, but the race is tighter than expected in this usually Republican state as Walz gains support.

Key Facts

  • The poll surveyed 900 likely voters in Nebraska from April 25-29 and has a margin of error of ±3.3 points.
  • Governor Jim Pillen has 47% support; Lynne Walz has 45%.
  • In July 2025, Pillen had a 12-point lead over Walz (51% to 39%).
  • Walz’s name recognition increased from 24% in July 2025 to 53% in April 2026.
  • Walz served as a state senator from 2017 to 2025; Pillen became governor in 2023 and is backed by President Donald Trump.
  • Political experts say Pillen is favored but the race could be more competitive than usual in Nebraska.
  • Prediction markets give Pillen an 82-88% chance of winning.
  • Walz’s campaign focuses on lowering costs and improving the state, claiming voters want a change.
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