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Tropical Storm Map as NHC Tracks First Disturbance of Hurricane Season

Tropical Storm Map as NHC Tracks First Disturbance of Hurricane Season

Summary

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring the first possible tropical storm of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season, expected to form near southern Mexico next week. Forecasters predict an above-average hurricane season in this region due to the influence of El Niño, which warms ocean waters and helps storms grow stronger.

Key Facts

  • The Eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15 to November 30.
  • The NHC is tracking a low-pressure area southwest of the Baja California Peninsula.
  • This system has a 60% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within seven days.
  • Tropical storms near Mexico can bring heavy rain, flooding, and rough surf.
  • NOAA predicts 15 to 22 named storms, 9 to 14 hurricanes, and 5 to 9 major hurricanes this season in the Eastern Pacific.
  • El Niño is developing and warms ocean waters, increasing the chance and strength of storms.
  • El Niño reduces wind shear, which normally breaks up storms, allowing them to grow.
  • The Atlantic hurricane season starts later and is expected to be below average this year.
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