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Trump Playbook Tested by Hard-Right Outsider in Colombia Presidential Race

Trump Playbook Tested by Hard-Right Outsider in Colombia Presidential Race

Summary

Colombia is preparing for a presidential election with two main candidates: Ivan Cepeda, the left-wing incumbent president Gustavo Petro's chosen successor, and Abelardo De La Espriella, a lawyer and political outsider with a hard-right, populist campaign style similar to U.S. President Trump. De La Espriella's campaign focuses on security, smaller government, and nationalist ideas, appealing to voter dissatisfaction with traditional politics.

Key Facts

  • Gustavo Petro, Colombia’s first left-wing president, is leaving office after one term.
  • Ivan Cepeda, a left-wing senator, is Petro’s preferred successor and leads the polls.
  • Abelardo De La Espriella is a right-wing outsider who has gained strong support rapidly, rising from 1.1% in March 2025 to about 30% before the election.
  • De La Espriella uses anti-establishment messages, social media engagement, and tough security promises inspired by leaders like President Trump and Nayib Bukele.
  • Colombia is deeply divided politically, with many voters tired of the traditional left-right options.
  • De La Espriella’s platform includes smaller government, expanded prisons, and a security approach modeled on El Salvador’s policies.
  • Polls show a likely runoff between Cepeda and De La Espriella, with the race very close and unpredictable.
  • De La Espriella has said he will quit politics if he loses, but experts believe his campaign has changed Colombia’s political landscape for the hard right.
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