Cepeda vs. De la Espriella: Colombia Election Final Polls and Odds
Summary
Colombia is holding a presidential election with two main candidates: left-wing senator Ivan Cepeda, who supports continuing the current government's policies, and right-wing Abelardo De La Espriella, who has quickly gained popularity. Recent polls show neither candidate likely to win outright, pointing to a possible runoff election in June.Key Facts
- The election could change Colombia's relations with the United States and its policies on Venezuela, drug trafficking, and armed groups.
- Ivan Cepeda is 56 years old, a left-wing senator, and the successor chosen by current President Gustavo Petro.
- Abelardo De La Espriella is a right-wing candidate who rose from 1.1% support in March 2025 to nearly match Cepeda in early 2026.
- Recent polls show Cepeda leading with about 44.6% support and De La Espriella at 31.6%.
- Prediction markets favor De La Espriella with around 59% odds to win, possibly due to right-wing voters uniting in a runoff.
- The U.S. has had close security and anti-drug cooperation with Colombia, but relations have cooled under Petro.
- A De La Espriella win may improve ties with President Donald Trump’s administration, while a Cepeda win would likely continue current policies.
- Cepeda promotes social programs, environmental protection, and peace talks, but faces criticism over ongoing insecurity and drug issues.
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