Two Tropical Storms Could Form in the Pacific Ocean This Week
Summary
Forecasters are monitoring two weather disturbances in the eastern Pacific Ocean that may become tropical storms this week. This activity coincides with the start of the Atlantic hurricane season and reflects a likely busy Pacific hurricane season influenced by a possible strong El Niño climate pattern.Key Facts
- Two areas of disturbed weather in the eastern Pacific could develop into tropical storms soon.
- The first system near Baja California has a 40% chance of forming into a tropical depression in 48 hours and 90% in seven days.
- A second system south of Mexico has a low chance (near 0%) of forming in the next 48 hours but a 30% chance within a week.
- The eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15; the Atlantic season started June 1.
- NOAA predicts a 70% chance of above-normal hurricane activity in the eastern Pacific this year.
- A strong or super El Niño, meaning warmer ocean waters in the tropical Pacific, may boost storm formation in the Pacific but suppress it in the Atlantic.
- El Niño causes more wind shear in the Atlantic, which disrupts storms, but creates favorable conditions for storms in the Pacific.
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