Reform UK support could plateau as it relies on socially conservative views, study finds
Summary
A study led by researcher John Curtice found that the political party Reform UK relies heavily on socially conservative views, which may limit how much its support can grow. The party appeals mostly to people who distrust politicians, hold negative views on migrants, and oppose progressive social changes.Key Facts
- Reform UK’s support is linked to socially conservative opinions on topics like migration and culture.
- The party’s backing is mostly from older, male voters with fewer educational qualifications.
- 67% of Reform supporters believe migrants harm the economy; 75% think migrants damage UK culture.
- Large majorities of supporters feel that rights for transgender, lesbian, gay, bisexual, and ethnic minority groups have gone too far.
- Reform supporters tend to distrust politicians and government services like the NHS more than the general public.
- Supporters often worry about their personal financial situations.
- Around 46% of people who are both authoritarian and dissatisfied with politics support Reform UK.
- New supporters since 2024 joined primarily because of shared political beliefs, not just dissatisfaction with public services or the economy.
- Research suggests Reform UK’s support might plateau around 30%, given its current political focus.
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