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Steve Hilton Chances of Winning California Primary After Trump Endorsement

Steve Hilton Chances of Winning California Primary After Trump Endorsement

Summary

President Donald Trump has endorsed Steve Hilton in his run for California governor ahead of the June 2 primary. Despite the endorsement, prediction markets suggest Hilton is unlikely to win the general election but has a good chance to advance through California’s top-two primary system.

Key Facts

  • President Trump gave Steve Hilton his full endorsement for California governor.
  • California uses a top-two primary system where the two highest vote-getters move to the general election, regardless of party.
  • Hilton trails Democrat Xavier Becerra in prediction markets tracking the November governor race.
  • Becerra leads with about 77% odds to win, while Hilton has around 6%.
  • Another Democrat, Tom Steyer, ranks second with roughly 15% odds to win.
  • Kalshi’s prediction market gives Hilton about a 76% chance to advance past the primary.
  • The primary race is crowded with multiple candidates from both major parties.
  • Small changes in voter support could greatly affect which candidates advance to the general election.
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