LA Mayor Primary: Final Polls, Chances as Bass, Pratt, Raman Face Off
Summary
The Los Angeles mayoral primary race is very close, with three main candidates—incumbent Mayor Karen Bass, councilmember Nithya Raman, and television personality Spencer Pratt—competing for votes. Recent polls show Bass slightly ahead, but the final outcome will depend on voter turnout in the June 2 primary, which will determine which two candidates continue to the November runoff.Key Facts
- A final poll shows Karen Bass with 26%, Nithya Raman with 25%, and Spencer Pratt with 22%.
- Prediction markets give Bass about a two-to-one chance of winning.
- Undecided voters have dropped from around 40–50% in March to about 10% in May.
- The Los Angeles mayoral election uses a top-two primary system where the two highest vote-getters move to the runoff.
- The election is officially nonpartisan; candidates don't have party labels on the ballot.
- The race focuses on issues like homelessness, affordability, public safety, and wildfire disaster response.
- Spencer Pratt has criticized Bass’s handling of the 2025 Palisades Fire.
- Polls have a margin of error of about plus or minus 3 percentage points, so the race is statistically very close.
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