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Josh Turek's Chances of Beating Ashley Hinson, According to Polls

Josh Turek's Chances of Beating Ashley Hinson, According to Polls

Summary

Josh Turek won the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Iowa and will face Republican Ashley Hinson in the general election. Polls show a close race in a state that usually votes Republican, with experts saying Democrats now have a better chance than before to win this Senate seat.

Key Facts

  • Josh Turek is a two-term Iowa state representative and a Paralympic gold medalist.
  • He won the Democratic primary with 64 percent of the vote.
  • Ashley Hinson won the Republican primary with 76 percent of the vote.
  • Iowa Senator Joni Ernst is retiring, leaving an open Senate seat.
  • Polls from Echelon Insights and GBAO show Turek slightly ahead by one point.
  • Prediction markets give Republicans about a 60% chance to win and Democrats about 40%.
  • The Cook Political Report changed the race rating from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican."
  • Turek’s campaign focuses on appealing to independent voters and some Republicans by addressing economic issues.
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