Scott Wiener's Chances of Beating Nancy Pelosi's Handpicked Successor
Summary
Scott Wiener and Connie Chan advanced to the November runoff for California's 11th Congressional District after the June 2 primary. Wiener, a state senator, leads the race and is favored to win despite Pelosi’s late endorsement of Chan, a San Francisco supervisor.Key Facts
- California uses a top-two primary system where the two candidates with the most votes move to the general election, regardless of party.
- With about half the votes counted, Wiener had 41 percent, Chan 29 percent, and Saikat Chakrabarti 15 percent. Chakrabarti did not advance.
- Polls consistently showed Wiener in a strong lead and a close race for second place between Chan and Chakrabarti.
- Prediction markets gave Wiener a 61 percent chance of winning the general election versus 39 percent for Chan.
- Nancy Pelosi endorsed Chan two weeks before the primary, a rare move in local races, aiming to boost Chan’s campaign.
- Pelosi announced in November that she would not seek reelection after decades in Congress.
- The race reflects Pelosi's continuing influence in San Francisco politics but suggests Wiener is the stronger candidate.
- The general election will be a contest between two Democrats in a primarily Democratic district.
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