World Map Shows Where El Niño Will Hit Hard
Summary
The United Nations and World Meteorological Organization (WMO) say there is a high chance an El Niño weather event will form between June and November 2024. El Niño typically causes shifts in global temperatures and rainfall, affecting many regions, including parts of the United States.Key Facts
- El Niño has an 80% chance of forming between June and August 2024, and a 90% chance before November 2024.
- The last El Niño (2023-24) was one of the strongest ever recorded and contributed to record global temperatures.
- The upcoming El Niño is expected to be at least moderate in strength, possibly strong.
- El Niño causes warmer ocean waters in the central-eastern Pacific and changes in weather patterns worldwide.
- WMO forecasts warmer temperatures in many regions including the Pacific, Africa, Asia, and the Americas between June and August.
- Rainfall will increase in places like southern U.S., southern South America, the Horn of Africa, and central Asia.
- Drier conditions are expected in Central America, northern South America, the Caribbean, Australia, and parts of southern Asia.
- El Niño may increase Pacific cyclones but likely reduce Atlantic hurricane activity.
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