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SpaceX will get off the ground – but a descent from a silly valuation must follow | Nils Pratley

SpaceX will get off the ground – but a descent from a silly valuation must follow | Nils Pratley

Summary

SpaceX plans to offer shares on the US stock market with a very high valuation of $1.77 trillion, despite reporting a loss of $4.9 billion in 2025 on $18.7 billion in revenue. Much of this value is linked to Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence project xAI, with SpaceX’s core space and satellite services contributing less to this high valuation.

Key Facts

  • SpaceX aims to become a multi-planet life-supporting company, according to its IPO document.
  • The company lost $4.9 billion in 2025 while earning $18.7 billion in revenue.
  • SpaceX will be listed on Nasdaq with a valuation almost 100 times its revenues.
  • Starlink, its satellite broadband service, makes up 60% of SpaceX’s revenues and leads the global market in remote internet connectivity.
  • Reusable rocket technology reduces launch costs from billions to tens of millions of dollars.
  • The AI division xAI was added to SpaceX in 2024, valued at $250 billion at that time, and will get most of the IPO funds.
  • The social media platform X, connected to xAI, holds little financial importance within SpaceX.
  • Some analysts estimate a more realistic SpaceX valuation around $780 billion, significantly lower than the IPO price.
  • Major Wall Street banks are managing the IPO and will support share sales.
  • Passive index funds must buy SpaceX shares because of its inclusion in market indices, regardless of price.
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