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Support for Alberta Separatism Falls Despite Referendum: Poll

Support for Alberta Separatism Falls Despite Referendum: Poll

Summary

Support for Alberta becoming independent from Canada is going down, even as the province gets closer to having a vote on the issue. A recent poll shows only about 2 in 10 Albertans want a referendum, and fewer would vote to leave Canada.

Key Facts

  • Only 19% of Albertans support holding a binding referendum on independence.
  • Just 18% would vote to leave Canada if there was a referendum, down 10 points since January.
  • 72% of Albertans oppose holding a referendum.
  • Opposition to independence is more certain, with 90% of those against separatism firm in their views.
  • Support is lowest in Calgary (14% for referendum, 12% for independence), higher in Edmonton and other areas.
  • Younger people under 35 are more likely to support independence (22%) than older groups.
  • Political views influence opinions: New Democratic Party supporters mostly oppose separation, United Conservative Party supporters are split.
  • More separatists now say they support independence because they believe Alberta’s future would be better outside Canada.
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