Scoop: Dems place $30 million bet on reshaping 2028 House maps
Summary
Democrats, through the super PAC Forward Majority, plan to spend $30 million in 2024 on about two dozen state legislative races. They aim to influence redistricting for six U.S. House seats before 2028 by winning key statehouse contests in certain states.Key Facts
- Forward Majority will invest $30 million in 24 state legislative races in 2024.
- Winning as few as eight statehouse races in five states could shape House district maps for 2028.
- The states focused on are Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
- Control of the state House, Senate, and governor’s office is needed to redraw district maps.
- Republicans have pushed mid-cycle redistricting in states like Texas, gaining extra seats.
- Democrats responded with attempts to redraw maps in California, but Virginia’s courts blocked it.
- The 2030 census will trigger nationwide redrawing of district lines in all states.
- Forward Majority uses a data model called “Tipping Points” to target races with very close vote margins.
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