Tropical Storm Arthur Could Form in Gulf This Week
Summary
The National Hurricane Center is watching a low-pressure area in the Gulf of Mexico that might develop into Tropical Storm Arthur, the first named storm of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season. The system has a low chance of strengthening and is expected to bring rain and wind to eastern Mexico but does not threaten the United States.Key Facts
- The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
- A low-pressure area may form over the Bay of Campeche in the southern Gulf this week.
- There is a 10% chance the system will become a tropical depression within seven days.
- The system is unlikely to strengthen quickly due to wind shear and dry air.
- It is expected to move toward eastern Mexico and bring rain and gusty winds.
- No watches or warnings have been issued by the National Hurricane Center.
- Early tropical storms are common during El Niño years, which may produce about two early-season storms.
- NOAA predicts a below-average 2026 hurricane season with 8 to 14 named storms and 3 to 6 hurricanes.
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