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Social Security Projection: Cuts Could Be Felt Most in These States

Social Security Projection: Cuts Could Be Felt Most in These States

Summary

The Social Security retirement trust fund is expected to run out of money by 2032, which could lead to a 24% cut in monthly payments for 63 million Americans. Some states, especially in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, could see the largest drops, impacting retirees who depend heavily on these benefits.

Key Facts

  • The Social Security trust fund may be empty by 2032, causing automatic benefit cuts unless Congress acts.
  • A 24% cut would lower monthly payments by about $500 on average nationwide.
  • Retirees in Connecticut, New Jersey, New Hampshire, Delaware, and Maryland could lose $541 to $556 each month.
  • Nearly 23% of Maine’s population depends on Social Security; other states with high reliance include West Virginia, Vermont, Delaware, and Montana.
  • The cuts could remove $345 billion from the U.S. economy in one year, equal to 1.1% of the country’s GDP.
  • States with older populations and lower incomes, like West Virginia and Mississippi, would face larger economic impacts relative to their economies.
  • Big states like California, Florida, and Texas would lose the most money in total dollars.
  • The trust fund’s problems come from longer lifespans, fewer births, and baby boomers retiring, leading to more benefits paid than payroll taxes collected for 16 years.
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