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El Niño Arrives: Advisory Issued by NWS, Chances of 'Very Strong' Status Soar

El Niño Arrives: Advisory Issued by NWS, Chances of 'Very Strong' Status Soar

Summary

El Niño has officially begun, and U.S. scientists say there is now a 63% chance it will become very strong between November and January. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has upgraded the status from "watch" to "advisory" due to warmer-than-usual ocean temperatures.

Key Facts

  • El Niño is a weather pattern affecting ocean temperatures in the Pacific Ocean.
  • NOAA changed the U.S. El Niño status from "watch" to "advisory" this month.
  • There is a 63% chance El Niño will become very strong during November to January.
  • This chance is almost double what NOAA estimated in May.
  • Strong El Niño events can cause extreme weather like droughts and floods.
  • Historical data on El Niño events goes back to 1950.
  • Even strong El Niño events don’t always affect every location the same way.
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