Where Trump has lost support with independents, according to AP-NORC polling
Summary
New polling analysis from AP-NORC shows that independent voters in the United States have become less supportive of President Donald Trump during his second term, especially those without a college degree. The analysis covers polls from mid-2024 to early 2026 and highlights a steady decline in Trump's approval among independents.Key Facts
- Independents without a college degree went from about 50% positive views of Trump around the 2024 election to about 25% positive this spring.
- The education gap in Trump’s support among independents has disappeared, with both college-educated and non-college-educated independents holding similar negative views.
- The data comes from nearly two dozen AP-NORC polls taken between July 2024 and April 2026.
- Independent support dropped during key events, including the last months of 2024, Trump's first 100 days, the passage of the Big Beautiful Bill in 2025, a government shutdown, and the start of the Iran war.
- Small groups like Black and Hispanic independents, who supported Trump in 2024, also showed decreased support over time.
- More Americans now identify as independents, and their declining support is important for upcoming midterm elections.
- Support among Democrats and Republicans has remained mostly stable during Trump’s second term.
- Early in Trump’s second term, independents without college degrees became less positive toward him quickly after the 2024 election.
Read the Full Article
This is a fact-based summary from The Actual News. Click below to read the complete story directly from the original source.