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Donald Trump's Support Collapses Among Independents Across Four Polls

Donald Trump's Support Collapses Among Independents Across Four Polls

Summary

President Donald Trump's approval rating among independent voters has dropped sharply during his second term, reaching record lows in several national polls. This declining support could impact upcoming elections, especially for Republican candidates in the House and Senate.

Key Facts

  • Civiqs polling shows Trump's approval among independents fell from 44% at the start of his term to 30% by June 2026.
  • Disapproval of Trump among independents rose from 49% to 63% in the same period, resulting in a net approval drop from -5 to -33.
  • The Economist/YouGov poll found Trump's net approval among independents at -50 in late May to early June 2026, a record low in that poll series.
  • Early in 2025, the same poll showed a much smaller negative net approval of -4 among independents.
  • PRRI data from May 2026 showed independent favorability towards Trump at 25%, down from 35% in early 2025.
  • An AP-NORC analysis found that only about one-quarter of independents supported Trump in 2026, compared to nearly 40% during the 2024 election.
  • Multiple polls indicate a consistent, structural decline in Trump's support among independent voters over time.
  • This drop in support among independents may influence the outcomes of future midterm elections, affecting Republican chances.
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