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BoM forecasts strong El Niño and warns climate change could amplify any effects on Australia

BoM forecasts strong El Niño and warns climate change could amplify any effects on Australia

Summary

The Bureau of Meteorology has officially confirmed that El Niño is now happening in the tropical Pacific Ocean. This weather pattern is linked to hotter and drier conditions in Australia, and climate change is expected to make its effects stronger, including more heat and bushfires.

Key Facts

  • El Niño is confirmed by the Bureau of Meteorology due to warmer sea surface temperatures and changes in wind and cloud patterns.
  • El Niño usually causes lower rainfall and higher daytime temperatures in Australia's eastern and southern regions.
  • Climate change is making past patterns less reliable and is amplifying extreme weather such as heatwaves and fires.
  • Ocean temperatures in the tropical Pacific have risen rapidly in recent months.
  • Other agencies like the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Japan Meteorological Agency have also declared El Niño.
  • El Niño is linked to global weather extremes, including droughts, floods, and coral bleaching.
  • Experts expect El Niño to contribute to a record warm year globally in 2024.
  • The Climate Council warns that El Niño combined with fossil fuel emissions will increase risks for farmers and people living near bushland.
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