Tactical voting by Greens and Lib Dems could be key to Labour victory in Makerfield
Summary
Tactical voting by Green and Liberal Democrat supporters could help Labour candidate Andy Burnham win the Makerfield byelection by preventing Reform UK from winning. Polls show many left-leaning voters are willing to back Burnham, while voters for the right-wing Reform UK are less willing to support their candidate or switch votes.Key Facts
- Green and Liberal Democrat supporters in Makerfield are willing to vote for Labour’s Andy Burnham to stop Reform UK from winning.
- Reform UK’s main competitor on the right is Restore Britain, which has a similar size vote share.
- About half of Green and Lib Dem voters say they plan to vote for Burnham in the byelection.
- Only about a third of Reform voters are willing to switch to another right-wing candidate.
- Labour’s narrow lead in polls is smaller than the combined Green and Lib Dem vote share from the last general election.
- Restore Britain voters are less likely to vote tactically, with some possibly not voting if no Restore candidate is present.
- Experts say it is unlikely Green or Lib Dem candidates will win in Makerfield, making tactical voting key.
- The byelection polling shows Labour’s Andy Burnham as the likely frontrunner, but the result is not guaranteed.
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