What lessons will Iran’s new leadership draw from the 110-day war?
Summary
Iran’s new leadership is deciding how to learn from a 110-day war, which will affect whether they reach a nuclear deal with the US. President Trump and US intelligence officials have expressed doubts about Iran’s honesty in negotiations, while some Iranian voices suggest geography gives Iran power beyond nuclear weapons.Key Facts
- Iran’s new leaders are shaped by a recent 110-day war.
- The Iranian supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, opposes the nuclear deal in principle but allows negotiations to continue with conditions.
- President Donald Trump has said Iran’s leaders are “very dishonourable” but later called them “the most rational group we have ever dealt with.”
- US CIA Director John Ratcliffe warned the Iranian public statements may not match their private intentions.
- Some in Iran believe control of the Strait of Hormuz is a powerful advantage that gives deterrence beyond nuclear weapons.
- There is public desire in Iran for stability and an end to ongoing conflict and protests.
- President Trump’s team feels they have gained new access to senior Iranian officials recently.
- The situation in Iran-US relations remains uncertain, with internal debates about whether to pursue pragmatism or ideological goals.
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