Dan Goldman's Chances of Losing to Brad Lander in New York: Final Polls
Summary
Representative Dan Goldman is trailing progressive Brad Lander in polls for the Democratic primary in New York’s 10th Congressional District. The race highlights a choice between moderate and progressive leadership in a district known for strong progressive support.Key Facts
- Brad Lander leads in recent polls: one showed 57% support for Lander vs. 23% for Goldman, another showed 47% for Lander vs. 42% for Goldman.
- Prediction markets give Lander about a 98-99% chance of winning.
- The 10th District covers parts of lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, areas with many progressive voters.
- Goldman is seen as more centrist and has faced criticism from progressives for his stance on Israel.
- Lander has the endorsement of Mayor Zohran Mamdani, reflecting the mayor’s influence in the city’s progressive politics.
- Goldman supports Israel firmly but criticized its current leadership and policies regarding Gaza.
- The primary election is a key test of the progressive movement’s influence in New York politics.
- This race is one of several in 2026 where progressives challenge moderate Democrats in New York City.
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