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Here's How Much Iran Could Make From US Oil Sanctions Waiver

Here's How Much Iran Could Make From US Oil Sanctions Waiver

Summary

The United States has temporarily lifted sanctions on Iranian oil exports to support progress in ending a nearly four-month war. This move allows Iran to sell more oil openly, potentially increasing its daily earnings by millions, by reducing costs from previous sanctions evasion methods.

Key Facts

  • The U.S. Treasury Department issued a license allowing Iran to export oil and related products until August 21, 2026.
  • This policy change reverses previous sanctions imposed during President Donald Trump’s administration.
  • Iran’s oil sales were previously limited to a few buyers, mainly China, at discounted prices because of sanctions.
  • Experts estimate Iran could make about $37.4 million to $51 million per day during the 60-day waiver period.
  • Iran was already selling oil but at lower profits due to discounts and costs of secret shipping and financial maneuvers to avoid sanctions.
  • The new license allows Iran to sell oil closer to market prices and reduces costs related to shipping and financial operations used to skirt sanctions.
  • These changes could increase Iran’s revenue by roughly $11 per barrel of oil sold.
  • Iran is estimated to currently have access to around 180 million barrels of oil for export.
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