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Ken Paxton Surges Ahead of James Talarico in Texas Senate Race Poll

Ken Paxton Surges Ahead of James Talarico in Texas Senate Race Poll

Summary

A new poll shows Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, a Republican, slightly leading Democrat James Talarico in the race for U.S. Senate. The race is close, with both candidates gaining support from their parties and different voter groups ahead of the November election.

Key Facts

  • Ken Paxton leads James Talarico by 1 percentage point in a recent poll (43% to 42%).
  • The poll surveyed 1,251 registered Texas voters in June with a margin of error of about 3 points.
  • Paxton’s support among Republicans rose from 63% in April to 84% in June.
  • Talarico’s support among Democrats increased from 82% to 88%, and among independents from 39% to 40%.
  • Ten percent of voters remain undecided about who they will vote for.
  • Texas voted for President Donald Trump by 14 points in 2024, making it a challenging state for Democrats.
  • The GOP primary was intense, but Republicans are now focusing on the general election.
  • Winning for Talarico will require strong Democratic turnout, lower Republican enthusiasm, and good support from independents, suburban, and Latino voters.
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