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Incumbents Are Having a Rough Primary Season

Incumbents Are Having a Rough Primary Season

Summary

Many current members of the U.S. Congress are losing their primary elections as the 2026 midterms approach. Both Democratic and Republican voters are supporting challengers over incumbents for reasons related to disagreement with party leadership and loyalty to President Donald Trump.

Key Facts

  • Colorado Democrat Diana DeGette recently lost her primary race.
  • Seven House incumbents have lost primaries so far in 2026, more than in 2024.
  • Senate seat primaries are rarer, but two Republican senators have lost renomination this year.
  • President Trump has actively supported challengers against some Republican incumbents he sees as disloyal.
  • Democratic voters are favoring candidates who promise a stronger opposition to President Trump.
  • Incumbent Senator Bill Cassidy of Louisiana lost his primary partly because of his past vote against Trump’s impeachment.
  • Historically, more incumbents lose during years with redistricting, but even without it, losses are rising.
  • Academic experts say voters often want change, causing incumbents to lose, especially in intense political climates like 2026.
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