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What does the falling birthrate mean for the British economy?

What does the falling birthrate mean for the British economy?

Summary

The birthrate in England and Wales has dropped to a record low, raising concerns about future economic and political challenges for the UK. The reduction in births may lead to fewer working-age individuals in the future, affecting economic growth and increasing financial pressure due to an aging population.

Key Facts

  • The birthrate in England and Wales fell to 1.41 children per woman in 2024.
  • A birthrate of 2.1 is typically needed to keep a population steady without increasing or decreasing.
  • The UK population is expected to decline, which may cause economic and political issues.
  • Higher average ages for first-time parents have been noted, with new mothers at 31 and fathers at 33.9.
  • Factors like rising housing and childcare costs and uncertain jobs influence decisions about having children.
  • Lower birthrates can initially reduce pressure on healthcare and education but lead to slower economic growth in the long run.
  • The number of pensioners compared to working-age people is growing, with 280 pensioners per 1,000 workers in 2020, projected to rise to 393 per 1,000 by 2070.
  • The UK state pension system relies on current workers' contributions, adding pressure as the working-age population shrinks.

Source Information