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Tropical Storm Douglas: Spaghetti Models Show Storm Track Near US Coast

Tropical Storm Douglas: Spaghetti Models Show Storm Track Near US Coast

Summary

Tropical Storm Douglas is moving in the eastern Pacific Ocean near the U.S. West Coast but remains far from land and is not expected to cause coastal damage. Forecasters predict the storm will weaken over cooler waters and disappear by Friday, though some models suggest it could come closer to Baja California.

Key Facts

  • Tropical Storm Douglas is the fourth named storm of the 2026 eastern Pacific hurricane season.
  • The storm is about 1,175 miles west-southwest of Baja California, with 40 mph winds, moving north at 6 mph.
  • Douglas is forecast to move over open water, weaken over cooler seas, and become a post-tropical cyclone by Friday.
  • There are currently no coastal watches or warnings for Douglas.
  • "Spaghetti models" show different possible storm paths; most predict Douglas will stay away from land, but one shows a possible turn toward Baja California.
  • The 2026 eastern Pacific hurricane season is expected to be above normal, with 15 to 22 named storms predicted.
  • El Niño conditions in the Pacific are increasing storm activity in the eastern Pacific by creating favorable weather for storm development.
  • El Niño generally increases storms in the eastern Pacific while reducing them in the Atlantic hurricane season.
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