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America's missing middle: The shrinking 45-64 population

America's missing middle: The shrinking 45-64 population

Summary

The number of U.S. adults aged 45 to 64 has dropped by about 2.7 million between 2020 and 2025. This shrinking middle-aged group includes many Generation X and younger baby boomers and may affect leadership, caregiving, and institutional knowledge in communities.

Key Facts

  • The 45-64 age group fell 3.2% nationwide, from 84 million to 81.3 million people.
  • The Northeast saw the biggest drop in this group by 7.1%, followed by the Midwest at 6.2%.
  • The South was the only region where the 45-64 population grew slightly, by 0.1%.
  • Overall, the U.S. population is aging, with the median age rising to 39.4 in 2025.
  • People aged 65 and older grew by 16.2% nationally from 2020 to 2025.
  • The under-18 population decreased by 2.4% in the same period.
  • The decrease in the 45-64 group is partly due to aging older baby boomers moving into retirement and fewer Gen Xers following them.
  • Housing costs and migration are pushing many in this age group to move south from the Northeast and West.
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