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Trump ‘May Be Turning a Corner’ With Independents: Most Accurate Pollster

Trump ‘May Be Turning a Corner’ With Independents: Most Accurate Pollster

Summary

A recent poll shows that President Donald Trump's popularity has improved slightly in early July, mainly due to more support from independent voters and Republicans. Although his overall approval is still negative, these changes could affect the 2026 midterm elections, where small shifts in voter opinion are important.

Key Facts

  • President Trump’s favorability rose from 37% in June to 40% in July.
  • His net favorability improved from minus 16 points to minus 12 points.
  • The poll was conducted by I&I/TIPP, known for accurate predictions in past elections.
  • Support among Republicans increased to 76% favorability from 72%.
  • Independent voters’ favorability for Trump rose from 25% to 29%.
  • Democratic favorability for Trump fell from 13% to 12%, with 83% unfavorable.
  • The poll surveyed 1,473 adults from June 29 to July 2, with a 2.8% margin of error.
  • Slight changes among independents could influence control of the U.S. Congress in the 2026 midterms.
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