AOC, Jon Ossoff Surge Against Gavin Newsom in 2028 Prediction Market
Summary
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Senator Jon Ossoff have gained support in prediction markets for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, while California Governor Gavin Newsom’s chances have decreased. Recent polls show former Vice President Kamala Harris leading the Democratic primary race.Key Facts
- Ocasio-Cortez’s chances of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination rose from 9% to 15% in prediction markets over one month.
- Jon Ossoff’s chances more than doubled from under 6% to 14% in the same period.
- Gavin Newsom’s chances dropped from 25% to 18% according to Polymarket.
- Kamala Harris’s chances have remained steady around 8% in prediction markets but she leads in recent polls.
- A FocalData poll showed Harris with 33% support, Newsom 15%, Ocasio-Cortez 9%, and Buttigieg 8%.
- Another McLaughlin poll showed Harris at 26%, Newsom at 16%, and Ocasio-Cortez at 9%.
- Prediction markets reflect trader sentiment based on political developments but do not guarantee election outcomes.
- Polls surveyed registered voters nationwide in June 2023 to gauge early preferences for the 2028 Democratic primary.
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