First major 2026 Atlantic hurricane forecast predicts below-average season
Summary
Researchers from Colorado State University predict a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season with fewer storms than usual. They expect nine named storms, including four hurricanes and one major hurricane, mainly due to the presence of El Niño, a climate pattern that usually reduces hurricane activity.Key Facts
- The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is forecasted to have nine named storms, four hurricanes, and one major hurricane (Category 3 or higher).
- This is fewer than the initial April forecast of 13 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes.
- The hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, with peak activity from August to October.
- El Niño, a climate pattern in the Pacific Ocean, began in late spring and tends to decrease Atlantic hurricane activity.
- The Climate Prediction Center says there is a 63% chance El Niño will become one of the strongest on record by the end of 2026.
- Last year’s season had 13 named storms, five hurricanes, and four major hurricanes, but no major U.S. landfalls.
- Average hurricane seasons have 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.
- Experts advise residents in hurricane-prone areas to prepare each year, regardless of forecasted storm numbers.
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