Swing Voters Don't Like Democrats, But Prefer Voting for Them Over GOP—Poll
Summary
A recent poll from Data for Progress shows that swing voters like Democrats less than Republicans, but still plan to vote for Democratic candidates in the 2026 midterms. Even though Democrats are unpopular, they are expected to have a good chance at winning control of Congress, partly because President Donald Trump’s approval rating is low.Key Facts
- The poll surveyed 5,809 people, including 447 swing voters, between May 15 and June 21.
- Only 29% of swing voters view Democrats positively, while 32% view Republicans positively.
- Democrats have a net favorability rating of -29 points, Republicans -25 points, and President Trump -42 points.
- Despite this, 33% of swing voters plan to vote Democratic, 21% Republican, and 46% are undecided.
- Democrats are hopeful about flipping both the House and Senate in the 2026 midterms.
- Historically, the president’s party often loses seats in midterm elections, which usually benefits Democrats when they hold the White House.
- Some experts say Trump’s low approval and controversial policies push swing voters toward Democrats, even if they do not fully support the party.
- Democrats face challenges because of a lack of clear positive messaging and negative news coverage, including scandals involving some candidates.
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