Risks of historic El Niño persisting through spring 2027 rising, says NWS
Summary
The US National Weather Service says there is a high chance of a very strong El Niño forming by the end of 2026, with effects lasting into spring 2027. This climate event heats parts of the Pacific Ocean, which can cause extreme weather worldwide, including heatwaves, droughts, and heavy rain.Key Facts
- There is an 81% chance a strong El Niño event will develop before the end of 2026.
- There is a 97% chance the El Niño conditions will continue through spring 2027.
- El Niño warms the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, changing weather patterns globally.
- A "super El Niño" increases ocean temperatures by about 2°C (36°F) above average, causing severe weather impacts.
- The 2015 super El Niño caused droughts in Ethiopia, water shortages in Puerto Rico, and a harsh hurricane season.
- Areas like Australia, southern Africa, India, and parts of South America usually experience drought during El Niño events.
- Other regions, including the southern US, the Middle East, and south-central Asia, often get heavier rainfall.
- Recent heatwaves in Europe and the US have already set temperature records and caused thousands of deaths and wildfires.
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