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Why Putin May Be Eyeing Another Mobilization | Opinion

Why Putin May Be Eyeing Another Mobilization | Opinion

Summary

Russia may be planning another military draft to support its war in Ukraine, following heavy losses and difficulties maintaining troop numbers. The Russian government is preparing training and mobilization systems while facing significant challenges from Ukrainian attacks on its infrastructure.

Key Facts

  • In September 2022, Russia launched a partial military draft, leading to 800,000 to 1 million people leaving the country.
  • Many young and educated Russians left, causing a brain drain in fields like science and technology.
  • Russia has avoided a full draft since then, relying on foreign and contract soldiers to fight in Ukraine.
  • Russia is recruiting about 30,000 new soldiers monthly with large signing bonuses, but many recruits have very short survival times.
  • Ukrainian drone strikes recently damaged Russian energy infrastructure, causing fuel shortages and export limits.
  • Russia is strengthening air defenses but still faces serious military and economic challenges.
  • Russian officials are preparing for a possible new draft after the 2026 parliamentary elections.
  • Measures include digital summons and travel bans to prevent those drafted from leaving Russia.
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