One Nation’s rise puts the next election in ‘unknown territory’ – but does Pauline Hanson really have a path to government?
Summary
One Nation, an Australian political party, has grown quickly in popularity, rising from about 6% of the vote to competing closely with the two major parties, Labor and the Coalition, in recent polls. This shift makes it difficult to predict the next election because many seats may be contested between One Nation and the other parties, which is different from past elections.Key Facts
- One Nation’s vote share increased dramatically since the last federal election.
- Recent polls show One Nation sometimes leading or tying with major parties Labor and the Coalition.
- One Nation may appear in the final three candidates in over 100 seats, up from just 26 last election.
- The party struggles in inner metropolitan areas but performs well in outer metropolitan and rural or regional seats.
- Australia uses a ranked voting system where preferences help decide winners if no candidate gets a majority initially.
- One Nation’s rise complicates election forecasts because usual voting preference patterns may change.
- Some former voters of Labor and the Coalition are now supporting One Nation.
- Pauline Hanson, leader of One Nation, has said she might run for a federal seat and believes she can lead the country.
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