Lindsey Graham’s Senate Replacement: What The Odds Show
Summary
Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina died at age 71, leaving his Senate seat vacant. South Carolina’s governor will temporarily appoint a senator until a special election, and prediction markets show Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, Rep. Ralph Norman, and Rep. Russell Fry as early favorites to win the Republican nomination.Key Facts
- Lindsey Graham served more than 20 years as a U.S. Senator from South Carolina.
- He died recently at the age of 71.
- Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim senator until a special election is held.
- The special election will decide who finishes Graham’s term.
- Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi track who may win the Republican nomination.
- Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette currently has the highest chance, around 43-45%, to win the primary.
- Reps. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry are also top contenders with 18-35% odds.
- Other potential candidates include Reps. Nancy Mace, William Timmons, and former Gov. Nikki Haley.
- Many Republicans have publicly expressed respect and condolences for Graham’s service.
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