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Record El Niño threatens to unleash floods across East Africa and Asia

Record El Niño threatens to unleash floods across East Africa and Asia

Summary

A strong El Niño weather pattern is developing quickly and could cause severe floods, droughts, and health problems in vulnerable parts of East Africa and Asia. Countries like Kenya, Somalia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Afghanistan face high risks, with some already experiencing emergency conditions.

Key Facts

  • El Niño is a natural change in Pacific Ocean temperatures that happens every 2-7 years, affecting weather worldwide.
  • The US Climate Prediction Center says there is an 81% chance this El Niño will be one of the strongest since 1950.
  • East Africa and parts of Asia are expected to have unusual weather, including heavy rains and flooding followed by drought.
  • Somalia and Kenya have already seen floods, and Kenya has started its disaster plan for more rain later this year.
  • In Bangladesh, floods and landslides have killed at least 15 Rohingya refugees and displaced over 10,000 people.
  • Pakistan may face drought with the risk of sudden floods from melting glaciers in its mountains.
  • The World Bank warns rice crops could drop by 20% to 50% in affected areas, which could worsen food shortages.
  • Aid groups are asking for funding now to help prevent disasters instead of waiting for damage to increase.
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