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Oil price jumps as US-Iran clashes raise odds of interest rate rises

Oil price jumps as US-Iran clashes raise odds of interest rate rises

Summary

Oil and gas prices rose sharply after the US launched a third night of military strikes against Iran. This increase pushed expectations higher for interest rate rises by European banks due to fears of inflation.

Key Facts

  • Brent crude oil price rose by up to 4.6% to $87.08 per barrel, its highest in over a month.
  • Oil prices had surged as much as 10% the day before, after President Trump announced a blockade of Iranian shipping.
  • European natural gas prices increased nearly 3%, reaching their highest level since early April.
  • UK natural gas prices rose 3.3%, marking a three-month high.
  • Financial markets now expect the Bank of England and European Central Bank to raise interest rates by 0.25% in September and possibly again by the end of the year.
  • President Trump said the Strait of Hormuz would remain open, with the US charging a 20% fee on ships passing through for security costs.
  • The Strait of Hormuz is crucial as about 20% of the world’s oil supply passes through it, and recent tensions have slowed traffic significantly.
  • UK government bond yields increased to their highest levels since May, while stock markets in Europe fell slightly amid the tensions.
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