JD Vance's Chances of Beating AOC and Newsom in New 2028 Poll
Summary
A recent poll from Zogby Analytics shows Republican Vice President JD Vance leading Democratic Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and California Governor Gavin Newsom in early 2028 presidential matchups. The poll reflects early voter opinions when no candidates have officially entered the race and includes many undecided voters, meaning the results could change.Key Facts
- JD Vance leads Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by about 45% to 38% in a hypothetical 2028 election matchup.
- Vance also leads Gavin Newsom by around 45% to 38%.
- Republican Secretary of State Marco Rubio trails Vance but slightly edges both Democrats in separate tests.
- The poll surveyed 1,003 likely voters from July 1 to July 4, 2026, with a 3.1% margin of error.
- About 17% to 23% of respondents said they were undecided, showing many voters had not made up their minds.
- Likely voter polls focus on people expected to vote, often older or more consistent voters, which can lean more Republican.
- Early polls often reflect general political mood rather than firm voter decisions and can change as campaigns develop.
- The presence of many undecided voters means the race is still very uncertain at this stage.
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