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War, talks, repeat: How to break the cycle between US and Iran?

War, talks, repeat: How to break the cycle between US and Iran?

Summary

Tensions between the US and Iran continue in a cycle of conflict, talks, and brief ceasefires. After a 60-day ceasefire ended on July 8, missile attacks and threats over the strategic Strait of Hormuz have increased, raising concerns about possible wider conflict and oil price rises.

Key Facts

  • A 60-day ceasefire between the US and Iran ended on July 8, 2026.
  • The conflict began with a US and Israeli attack on February 28, which killed Iran’s Supreme Leader.
  • Iran is using control over the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil shipping route, as leverage against the US.
  • President Trump initially threatened a 20% tax on commercial ships passing the Strait but later withdrew the threat.
  • Missile attacks have increased in the Gulf region since the ceasefire ended.
  • Crude oil prices rose to their highest level in four weeks due to the instability.
  • Experts question why the cycle of war followed by talks repeats without a lasting peace.
  • The situation is causing global concern because it affects international trade and security.
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